Here’s how (in)accurate my gaming predictions were in 2024
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Here’s how (in)accurate my gaming predictions were in 2024

Philipp Rüegg
1.1.2025
Translation: Patrik Stainbrook

I made 18 predictions about the gaming world a year ago. I guessed certain trends, I just didn’t get the timing right.

It’s probably time to have my crystal ball serviced. I’ve never been this wrong with my game predictions before. The problem wasn't so much what I said would happen, but when it would. Much of it is likely to become reality in 2025.

Wrong: Switch 2 will be released, remaining (almost) unchanged

The Switch 2 – no matter how it looks – will arrive later than I predicted.
The Switch 2 – no matter how it looks – will arrive later than I predicted.
Source: yankodesign.com

Now, Nintendo has officially confirmed that the Switch successor will be presented in the current financial year – i.e. by the end of March 2025. All leaks also indicate that little has changed in terms of the functional principle. Until Nintendo officially unveils the Switch 2, however, speculation will remain.

Wrong: New 3D Super Mario and Mario Kart as Switch 2 launch games

Bowser’s Fury was the last 3D Mario, albeit not a full-fledged release.
Bowser’s Fury was the last 3D Mario, albeit not a full-fledged release.
Source: Nintendo

I’d stick to this forecast for 2025, but without a launch I score no points.

Wrong: Apple will push gaming

Gaming on Macs is still a bother in 2024.
Gaming on Macs is still a bother in 2024.
Source: Samuel Buchmann

Fellow editor Samuel is wishing even harder than I am. Once again, it’s clear that gaming isn’t a high priority for Apple. A home game studio has remained wishful thinking.

Right: Windows games will become ARM-compatible

Microsoft is increasingly focusing on Windows devices with Arm architecture.
Microsoft is increasingly focusing on Windows devices with Arm architecture.
Source: Martin Jud

With the new Arm notebooks, the number of compatible games in Windows has increased significantly. Not every title, but it’s a start. This Microsoft-certified website counts almost 1,500 titles.

Wrong: New Xbox will run on ARM

Let’s see what the next Xbox will look like.
Let’s see what the next Xbox will look like.
Source: YouTube/Concept Creator

Unfortunately, we got no concrete information on the new Xbox hardware, except that there’ll definitely be some innovation – including a handheld. Arm is still possible, but the prediction came far too early.

Wrong: Game mode for Windows

A handheld mode has already been tinkered with at a hackathon.
A handheld mode has already been tinkered with at a hackathon.
Source: X/h0x0d

The Xbox app has been slightly optimised for handhelds, but that’s already it. Since Microsoft confirmed that it’s working on its own handheld, a slimmed-down Windows should no longer be far away.

Wrong: Xbox will have the best exclusive games

Avowed by Obsidian has been postponed to 2025.
Avowed by Obsidian has been postponed to 2025.
Source: Obsidian

With Stalker 2: Heart of Chornobyl, Towerborne, Senua’s Saga: Hellblade 2, Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024, Dungeons of Hinterberg and Indiana Jones and the Great Circle, Team Xbox has delivered some top-tier titles. Looking at PlayStation, however, they’re offset by Final Fantasy VII Rebirth, Silent Hill 2 Remake, Astro Bot, Lego Horizon Adventures, Infinity Nikki, Pacific Drive, Stellar Blade, Towers of Aghasba and Rise of the Ronin. In the end, it’s a matter of taste, but in terms of both quantity and quality, I have to give Sony the edge here.

Wrong: Valve will launch a new wireless VR headset

Satellites will probably be phased out.
Satellites will probably be phased out.
Source: YouTube/Concept Creator

The leaks are becoming more frequent and a new wireless VR headset seems almost certain. Valve obviously didn’t get far enough for 2024, though.

Right: The PS5 Pro will come out in autumn

The PS5 Pro was launched in November. Bull’s-eye.

Wrong: There’ll be an alternative store on the Steam Deck for the first time ever

Battle.net still isn’t officially available on the Steam Deck.
Battle.net still isn’t officially available on the Steam Deck.
Source: Philipp Rüegg

Sadly, no. Valve is still working hard on SteamOS, but alternative stores are still only available via workarounds.

Wrong: There’ll be a Hexen remake

Phil Spencer has already proclaimed his love for the game; now a remake must follow.
Phil Spencer has already proclaimed his love for the game; now a remake must follow.
Source: Xbox

Wow, I’m disappointed. The cult 90s fantasy first-person shooter still hasn’t been re-released. 2025, it’s all up to you.

Wrong: No new Call of Duty will come out in 2024

Turns out Black Ops 6 was one of the best instalments in a while.
Turns out Black Ops 6 was one of the best instalments in a while.
Source: Activision

Hahahaha, I can forget about this notion. As long as the series rakes in millions of dollars a year, it’ll probably be released annually. Really, Black Ops 6 was exceptionally good – especially the campaign.

Wrong: There’ll be a Bobby Kotick Easter egg in Call of Duty

Bobby Kotick is gone, and the staff are happy.
Bobby Kotick is gone, and the staff are happy.
Source: Flickr/Steven Simko

So far, I haven’t found any references to the ex-Activision CEO in Call of Duty. Maybe it’s better that way. Let’s forget about that guy as soon as possible.

Wrong: Sony will launch a new MMO

Horizon Forbidden West is a possible candidate, but Twisted Metal could work too.
Horizon Forbidden West is a possible candidate, but Twisted Metal could work too.
Source: Sony

Unfortunately, we got no news about a new PlayStation MMO.

Wrong: Sony will take over Ubisoft

Despite numerous flops such as the online shooter Xdefiant, Ubisoft isn’t for sale quite yet.
Despite numerous flops such as the online shooter Xdefiant, Ubisoft isn’t for sale quite yet.
Source: Ubisoft

Ubisoft is landing one flop after another. Online shooter Xdefiant was discontinued after less than a year. A sale of the company is more realistic than ever before. However, this hasn’t happened yet. Let’s wait for the launch of Assassin’s Creed Shadows.

Wrong: Skull and Bones will be a hit

Skull and Bones fell short of Ubisoft’s expectations.
Skull and Bones fell short of Ubisoft’s expectations.
Source: Ubisoft

I didn’t quite believe this prediction myself, but I was still holding out hope. I have to say, it was quite fun for a while. Still, an average rating of 60 on Opencritic and Ubisoft’s own statement that the game fell short of expectations speak for themselves.

Wrong: Assassin’s Creed will come to Switzerland

We haven’t yet received any further information on Assassin’s Creed Codename Hexe. Since the game will centre around witch hunts in the 16th and/or 17th century across the Holy Roman Empire, my prediction isn’t pulled out of thin air completely. Instead, with the announcement for Shadows, Hexe became the first instalment to be postponed.

Wrong: FIFA will introduce a new FIFA game, but it just won’t compare

EA Sports FC has no competition.
EA Sports FC has no competition.
Source: EA

FIFA has announced a collaboration with Konami, the creators of eFootball and formerly Pro Evolution Soccer. However, no direct competitor has dropped yet.

Tally: devastating

Two right guesses compared to 16 misses; I’ve seen better. But I came close several times. Things can only get better this year. Now I just have to find a suitable wizard mechanic for my broken crystal ball…

Header image: Co-Pilot/Philipp Rüegg

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Being the game and gadget geek that I am, working at digitec and Galaxus makes me feel like a kid in a candy shop – but it does take its toll on my wallet. I enjoy tinkering with my PC in Tim Taylor fashion and talking about games on my podcast http://www.onemorelevel.ch. To satisfy my need for speed, I get on my full suspension mountain bike and set out to find some nice trails. My thirst for culture is quenched by deep conversations over a couple of cold ones at the mostly frustrating games of FC Winterthur. 


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